NYMEX Crude $ 58.13 UP $.0200
NYMEX ULSD $2.0049 UP $.0316
NYMEX Gas $1.7007 UP $.0430
NEWS
Oil prices rose slightly on Thursday, supported by supply risks brought about by last weekend’s drone attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure and a cut in U.S. interest rates. Brent Crude futures gained 72 cents to $64.33 a barrel, while US WTI Crude settled up 2 cents at $58.13 a barrel.
The attacks knocked down more than half of Saudi Arabia’s crude production and severely limited the country’s spare capacity, a cushion for oil markets in any unplanned outage. “Global available spare capacity is extremely low at present following the weekend attacks, leaving little room for additional outages, which tends to be price supportive,” UBS oil analyst Giovanni Staunovo said. Earlier this week Saudi Arabia set out a timeline for a resumption of full operations, saying it had restored supplies to customers at levels prior to the attacks by drawing from its oil inventories. But it said it would restore its lost production by the end of this month, and bring its output capacity back to 12 million barrels per day by the end of November. “These plans suggest Saudi Arabia will have no spare capacity for at least the next two and a half months and therefore no way to absorb any further shocks,” consultancy Energy Aspects said. Saudi Arabia, the world’s leading oil exporter, has said the crippling attack on its oil sites was “unquestionably sponsored” by regional rival Iran.
U.S. President Donald Trump said there were many options short of war with Iran and added that he had ordered the U.S. Treasury to “substantially increase sanctions” on Tehran. Iran has denied involvement in the strikes. The head of the International Energy Agency said on Wednesday it saw no need to release emergency oil stocks as markets were well supplied. Following the attacks, Kuwait’s oil sector is on high alert and has raised its security to the highest level as a precaution, a Kuwaiti official said.
The U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates again on Wednesday to help sustain a record-long economic expansion. “The Fed rate cut is supporting risk sentiment today, which tends to help crude as well,” Staunovo said.
Separately, weekly data from the Energy Information Administration on U.S. oil inventories provided a mixed snapshot. Stockpiles of crude in the United States, the world’s largest oil producer, rose by 1.1 million barrels last week against analysts’ expectations for a drop of 2.5 million barrels. However, stocks in Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for benchmark futures, fell to their lowest since October 2018.
